The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) forecasts that over the next five years, the average global temperature will remain at or exceed record levels, with about a 70% chance that at least one year will exceed the critical 1.5
∘
C threshold.
The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) has presented a troubling climate outlook for the coming years. According to expert assessments, the average global temperature during the 2025–2029 period is highly likely to remain at record levels or surpass them.
There is over a 90% probability that at least one of the next five years will be the warmest on record. Furthermore, there is about a 70% chance that the temperature in at least one year will exceed the critical threshold of 1.5
∘
C above pre-industrial levels—a limit identified by the Paris Climate Agreement as dangerous for global ecosystem stability.
The temperature increase is influenced by both long-term processes associated with the accumulation of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere and short-term climate fluctuations, such as the El Niño phenomenon. Their combined impact is leading to an accelerated manifestation of global warming consequences that were previously projected for the mid-21st century.
People are already facing the consequences of climate change: more frequent extreme heatwaves, droughts, fires, and devastating floods. Ocean warming is causing mass coral death and altering marine animal migration routes. For agriculture, this means a growing threat to food security, and for the population, it means intensifying climate risks.
The WMO urges governments to accelerate the phasing out of fossil fuels, scale up the use of renewable energy, and adapt infrastructure to new climatic conditions. Experts stress that the world is on the cusp of an era where temperature records will become the norm.
