New police statistics in Germany have sparked widespread public debate, revealing that it is not gender, but rather migratory origin, that plays the most decisive role in violent crime rates. According to exclusive data published by NIUS based on figures from Germany’s Federal Criminal Police Office (BKA), citizens of certain foreign countries are significantly more likely to be suspected of serious crimes than native Germans.
The focus is not just on the total number of offenses, but on a specific metric called the ‘Tatverdächtigenbelastungszahl’ — the number of suspects per 100,000 individuals within each demographic group (excluding children under 8).
This indicator, included for the first time in the 2024 Police Crime Statistics report, paints a stark picture. Afghan men were nearly 11 times more likely to be suspects in rape cases than German men. Algerians were around 109 times more likely to appear in robbery statistics. Even women from Syria, Iraq, and Bulgaria were more frequently suspected of violent crimes than German men.
The parliamentary request for these figures came from AfD Bundestag member Martin Hess, who demanded a comparison between German nationals and the ten most prominent foreign nationalities involved in violent crime — including assault, robbery, rape, sexual assault, and homicide. The response from the BKA was unambiguous.
One of the most striking results was found among adolescents: Algerian males aged 14 to 18 committed robberies 77 times more often than their German peers. Moroccan teenagers in the same age group were 36 times more likely to be involved in robberies, while Syrian youths appeared eight times more often in the statistics.
This directly contradicts earlier claims by German politicians that gender, not migration, was the key factor. In 2016, Green Party politician Claudia Roth stated that sexualized violence was a long-standing domestic issue in Germany, and blaming migrants obscured the real picture. However, the current BKA data clearly shows the overrepresentation of male foreigners, particularly from Muslim-majority countries, in violent sexual offenses.
MP Martin Hess called the findings ‘facts the mainstream parties have ignored for years’ and called for a realistic approach to migration policy. He specifically demanded stronger border control and the systematic deportation of illegal migrants. According to him, to describe these numbers as ‘isolated incidents’ is to deliberately mislead the public.
The release has sparked intense controversy in German society. Supporters of stricter migration control see the data as evidence of a failed integration policy. Opponents warn of the dangers of stigmatizing entire ethnic or national groups. Yet, for the first time, the BKA has released statistics that allow for a fact-based, rather than ideological, discussion of the issue.
